- The – (56-29) are favorites vs the – (56-29)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin (1-2), 4.28 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-5), 3.44 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago White Sox () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 41-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 43-41 ATS.
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 44 games (+18.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+16.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Franmil Reyes has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 73% ROI)
- Franmil Reyes has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +100 |
| Shane Bieber | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.25 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 53 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 65 games (+5.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 65 games (+4.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+3.25 Units / 7% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 39-46 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -8.1% ROI).
- 41-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -10.31% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.04% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -4.93% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 43-41 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.76% ROI).
- 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.1% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -4.62% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -4.02% ROI
Davis Martin: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has struck out 38% (77/202) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 43 of 388 batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Dylan Cease has a strikeout rate of 34% (133 SO in 388 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 21 of 202 right-handed batters (10%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 65% of the time (259/397) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (52/162) against Shane Bieber this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of .471 (33 Total Bases / 70 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — 16th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has a strikeout rate of 47% (63 SO in 135 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 91st Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are 10-3 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The White Sox are 36-10 (.783) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The White Sox are 74-13 (.851) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 8-36 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Guardians are just 13-39 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Guardians are 26-3 (.897) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Guardians are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .888.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .429 (247 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
The White Sox are batting .288 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The White Sox are batting .269 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The White Sox have won just 44% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have just 588 strikeouts in 3,169 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .608 (895 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .319 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 10 of 94 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (11 games) — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
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