- The Guardians are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: –
- Guardians starting pitcher: Hunter Gaddis
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Chicago White Sox (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 19-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 20-26 ATS.
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +100 | +100 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -120 | -120 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 44 games (+23.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 43 games (+16.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Gaddis | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.75 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 39 games (+16.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 24-24 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -3.19% ROI).
- 19-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -20.07% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -3.86% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 20-26 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -13.96% ROI).
- 20-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -21.39% ROI
- 16-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -26.86% ROI
- 27-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.6 Units / 18.9% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Clevinger has allowed a slugging percentage of .852 (23 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — second Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 7 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .140 (6-for-43) against Mike Clevinger’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (20/69) against Mike Clevinger this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (24/155) against Hunter Gaddis this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Hunter Gaddis has located his fastball away 60% of the time (73/122) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Hunter Gaddis has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 77% (43/56) of opposing batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (5/21) against Hunter Gaddis with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 0-6 (.000) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The White Sox are just 3-12 (.200) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox are just 15-5 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The White Sox are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 22-73 (.232) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Guardians are 6-16 (.273) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians are 22-52 (.297) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have scored first in just 22% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The White Sox are just 0-6 (.000) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
White Sox hitters have drawn 367 walks in 6,232 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 92 walks in 1,452 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .343 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .643 (2,113 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Guardians hitters have not struck out in 12 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,023 strikeouts in 5,762 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 78% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .285 against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The White Sox have allowed 1.73 runs per game (83/48) in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 23 of 414 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 125 of 1,747 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 111 of 1,874 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 560 of 7,736 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Wrist, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
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