- The Mariners are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- White Sox / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-250) on Tuesday, August 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the White Sox are 42-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 47-64 ATS.
White Sox vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 3-8, 3.86 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 8-6, 3.11 ERA
White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | O 7.5 -120 | +200 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -110 | U 7.5 +100 | -250 |
White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 68.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+39.10 Units / 391% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 104% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.50 Units / 488% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+9.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bryan Woo has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 88 games (+15.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 88 games (+13.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 54 away games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 62% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 101 games (+9.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+6.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games at home (+1.60 Units / 8% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 65-47 against the Run Line (+10.2 Units / 7.34% ROI).
- 42-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.46 Units / -7.52% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -8.01% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.06% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 47-64 against the Run Line (-17.05 Units / -12.57% ROI).
- 60-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -3.2% ROI
- 59-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 4.07% ROI
- 49-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.12 Units / -12.93% ROI
Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Naylor (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 -175 | 5.5 +135 |
| Davis Martin (CWS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davis Martin has induced opposing hitters to ground into 13 double plays in 71 opportunities (18%) this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (70/129) against Davis Martin’s changeup since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (35/112) against Davis Martin’s non-fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Davis Martin has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (219/596) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 70% (643/916) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .231 (260 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 96th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has walked 3% of right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of .767 (23 Total Bases / 30 ABs) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 36-101 (.263) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The White Sox are just 83-191 (.303) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 71-19 (.789) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The White Sox are just 80-161 (.332) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 5-43 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Mariners are 7-42 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Mariners are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners are just 15-22 (.405) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 30% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .634 (7,396 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners are batting just .223 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 14% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 7% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
