- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Saturday, June 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The White Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 30-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 32-36 ATS.
White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 7 -110 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 7 -110 | -150 |
White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 69.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+15.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+13.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+11.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Logan Gilbert | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games (+2.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+3.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.15 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 36-35 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -3.92% ROI).
- 30-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -14.76% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -6.37% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.4% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 32-36 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -6.28% ROI).
- 34-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -8.06% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -3.36% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -5.4% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has an average spin rate of 1959.3 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 2403.0 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (6-for-45) against Lucas Giolito over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (131/424) against Lucas Giolito since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (16/79) against Lucas Giolito this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .267 against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — seventh best among qualified SPs– 89th Percentile. Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — worst among qualified SPs– second Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .133 (165 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .096 (15-for-156) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (50/152) against Logan Gilbert with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 3-11 (.214) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The White Sox are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The White Sox are just 23-5 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The White Sox are just 14-50 (.219) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 95-3 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
The Mariners are 93-7 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Mariners are 99-2 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .278 (1,386 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,055 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The White Sox are batting just .062 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
White Sox hitters have drawn 132 walks in 2,055 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .265 (287 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Mariners are batting just .221 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .225 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 279 of 2,736 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 177 of 2,532 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 138 of 2,067 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 628 of 8,562 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
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