White Sox vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 20

Seattle Mariners left fielder Randy Arozarena throws to the infield during the third inning of a spring training baseball game against the Colorado Rockies Sunday, March 2, 2025, in Scottsdale, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
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  • The Mariners are -155 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Mariners TV Channel: CHSN | MRTV

The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on May 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the White Sox are 25-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 18-32 ATS.

White Sox vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 2-3, 4.07 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 3-2, 3.06 ERA

White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -175O 7.5 -118+125
Mariners -1.5 +145U 7.5 -102-155

White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tristan Peters has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 away games (+11.45 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+21.50 Units / 307% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Mitch Garver has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.25 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 27-20 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -1.63% ROI).

  • 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 13.61% ROI
  • 27-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 9.9% ROI
  • 20-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -18.55% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 18-32 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -19.75% ROI).

  • 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -19.42% ROI
  • 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -12.18% ROI
  • 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 3.47% ROI

Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Munetaka Murakami +250
Colson Montgomery +360
Julio Rodriguez +380
Luke Raley +425
Josh Naylor +450

Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Josh Naylor 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Sam Antonacci 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sean Burke 4.5 -160 4.5 +120
Emerson Hancock 5.5 -125 5.5 -105

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 63-18 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The White Sox are just 24-107 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The White Sox were just 41-121 (.253) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Mariners are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Mariners are just 6-23 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Mariners are 10-74 (.119) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Mariners are 23-15 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox hitters are slugging .711 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .206 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of .780 (492 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .188 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .276 (557 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .264 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .588 (557 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 71% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.