White Sox vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The White Sox (67-67) are -120 favorites vs the Mariners (76-58)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (4-5), 4.69 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (10-12), 3.98 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago White Sox (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The White Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 66-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 71-60 ATS.

White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox-1.5 +145O 7.5 -115-120
Mariners +1.5 -175U 7.5 -105+100

White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 63 of his last 91 games (+31.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 64 of his last 93 games (+21.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 52 of his last 93 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 52 games at home (+16.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 67 of his last 100 games (+16.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+14.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)

Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +1050 0.5
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Carlos Santana 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Carlos Santana 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Carlos Santana 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marco Gonzales 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
Lance Lynn 6.5 +110 6.5 -160
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 73 of their last 134 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.75 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 54 games (+12.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 35% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 59-73 against the Run Line (-14.85 Units / -9.47% ROI).

  • 66-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -9.38% ROI
  • 58-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.15 Units / -8.41% ROI
  • 65-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.13% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 71-60 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 1.53% ROI).

  • 75-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.35 Units / 10.01% ROI
  • 60-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -6.61% ROI
  • 64-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.14% ROI

Lance Lynn has not allowed a walk in his last 139 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (33 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .423 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (55/301) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of just .249 (466 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 95th Percentile.

Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 13% (80 SO in 633 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has struck out just 12% (60/499) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.3 MPH on fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (66/425) against Marco Gonzales this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The White Sox are just 5-50 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

The White Sox are 22-5 (.815) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The White Sox are 12-2 (.857) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The White Sox are just 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Mariners are 58-1 (.983) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Mariners are 51-7 (.879) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Mariners are 8-46 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Mariners are 33-8 (.805) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

White Sox hitters have drawn 28 walks in 627 PA’s (4%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The White Sox are batting .371 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

White Sox hitters have 267 extra-base hits out of 950 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The longest HR allowed by the White Sox pitchers this season traveled 469.0 feet — — 5th longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 21 of 437 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.