- The White Sox (67-67) are -120 favorites vs the Mariners (76-58)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (4-5), 4.69 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (10-12), 3.98 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago White Sox (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The White Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 66-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 71-60 ATS.
White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
White Sox | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -115 | -120 |
Mariners | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -105 | +100 |
White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 63 of his last 91 games (+31.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 64 of his last 93 games (+21.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 52 of his last 93 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 52 games at home (+16.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 67 of his last 100 games (+16.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+14.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adam Frazier | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Carlos Santana | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adam Frazier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
Carlos Santana | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adam Frazier | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Carlos Santana | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marco Gonzales | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -130 |
Lance Lynn | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 73 of their last 134 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.75 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 54 games (+12.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 35% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 59-73 against the Run Line (-14.85 Units / -9.47% ROI).
- 66-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -9.38% ROI
- 58-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.15 Units / -8.41% ROI
- 65-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.13% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 71-60 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 1.53% ROI).
- 75-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.35 Units / 10.01% ROI
- 60-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -6.61% ROI
- 64-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.14% ROI
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has not allowed a walk in his last 139 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (33 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .423 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (55/301) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of just .249 (466 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 95th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 13% (80 SO in 633 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has struck out just 12% (60/499) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.3 MPH on fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (66/425) against Marco Gonzales this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 5-50 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The White Sox are 22-5 (.815) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The White Sox are 12-2 (.857) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The White Sox are just 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 58-1 (.983) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Mariners are 51-7 (.879) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Mariners are 8-46 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Mariners are 33-8 (.805) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 28 walks in 627 PA’s (4%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The White Sox are batting .371 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
White Sox hitters have 267 extra-base hits out of 950 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the White Sox pitchers this season traveled 469.0 feet — — 5th longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 21 of 437 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
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