- The Mariners (76-59) are -155 favorites vs the White Sox (68-67)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (7-6), 2.93 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (11-5), 3.35 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The White Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 67-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 72-60 ATS.
White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -115 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -105 | -155 |
White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 63 of his last 91 games (+31.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 64 of his last 93 games (+21.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 52 of his last 93 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 52 games at home (+16.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 67 of his last 100 games (+16.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+14.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Johnny Cueto | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 73 of their last 135 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 42% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 41 of their last 76 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 103% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 30% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 59-74 against the Run Line (-15.85 Units / -10.05% ROI).
- 67-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -8.75% ROI
- 58-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -9.03% ROI
- 66-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 1.8% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 72-60 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 2.08% ROI).
- 75-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.35 Units / 9.34% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -7.25% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.44% ROI
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (96/609) against Johnny Cueto in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (158/939) against Johnny Cueto this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 22 PAs) in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (427/854) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (33/93) against Logan Gilbert with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (134/458) against Logan Gilbert this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .449 (31-for-69) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — fourth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (18/94) against Logan Gilbert when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are 34-31 (.523) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The White Sox are just 5-50 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The White Sox are 87-15 (.853) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The White Sox are just 6-33 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 32-14 (.696) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Mariners are 35-5 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Mariners are 7-53 (.117) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 29 walks in 636 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,650 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 39% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .446 (266 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 23 of 472 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
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