White Sox vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners (76-59) are -155 favorites vs the White Sox (68-67)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (7-6), 2.93 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (11-5), 3.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The White Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 67-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 72-60 ATS.

White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -165O 7.5 -115+125
Mariners -1.5 +135U 7.5 -105-155

White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 63 of his last 91 games (+31.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 64 of his last 93 games (+21.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 52 of his last 93 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 52 games at home (+16.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 67 of his last 100 games (+16.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+14.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)

Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +1100 0.5
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Carlos Santana 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000

Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Carlos Santana 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Carlos Santana 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +290 0.5 -500

Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan Gilbert 4.5 -135 4.5 +100
Johnny Cueto 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 73 of their last 135 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 41 of their last 76 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 103% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 30% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 59-74 against the Run Line (-15.85 Units / -10.05% ROI).

  • 67-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -8.75% ROI
  • 58-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -9.03% ROI
  • 66-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 1.8% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 72-60 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 2.08% ROI).

  • 75-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.35 Units / 9.34% ROI
  • 60-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -7.25% ROI
  • 65-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.44% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (96/609) against Johnny Cueto in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (158/939) against Johnny Cueto this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Johnny Cueto has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 22 PAs) in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (427/854) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (33/93) against Logan Gilbert with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (134/458) against Logan Gilbert this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .449 (31-for-69) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — fourth Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (18/94) against Logan Gilbert when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The White Sox are 34-31 (.523) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The White Sox are just 5-50 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The White Sox are 87-15 (.853) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are just 6-33 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Mariners are 32-14 (.696) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Mariners are 35-5 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Mariners are 7-53 (.117) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

White Sox hitters have drawn 29 walks in 636 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,650 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 39% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .446 (266 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.

The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 23 of 472 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.