- The Mariners (77-59) are -200 favorites vs the White Sox (68-68)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech (4-9), 3.57 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (6-5), 2.71 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago White Sox (+170) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-200) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The White Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 67-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 73-60 ATS.
White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -130 | O 7 -110 | +170 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +105 | U 7 -110 | -200 |
White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 64 of his last 92 games (+32.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 64 of his last 94 games (+20.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 52 of his last 94 games (+16.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 52 games at home (+16.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+15.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +110 |
| Michael Kopech | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 74 of their last 136 games (+16.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 56 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+7.15 Units / 108% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 59-75 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -10.95% ROI).
- 67-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -9.26% ROI
- 58-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.25 Units / -9.72% ROI
- 67-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.46% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 73-60 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 2.87% ROI).
- 76-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.35 Units / 9.86% ROI
- 60-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -7.95% ROI
- 66-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.24% ROI
Michael Kopech: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Kelly has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — second Percentile.
Joe Kelly has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 42% (5/12) of opposing batters — tied for 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Joe Kelly — tied for 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .226 — third Percentile.
Joe Kelly has allowed an OPS of 1.167 (18 PA’s) — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .670 — third Percentile.
Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
59% of Luis Castillo’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (257/436) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 47% (50 SO in 106 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (9-for-90) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 99th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are 12-2 (.857) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The White Sox are just 6-33 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The White Sox are just 5-50 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Mariners are 35-5 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Mariners are 41-30 (.577) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Mariners are 58-2 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have just 15 strikeouts in 103 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox hitters have 80 extra-base hits out of 275 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 29 walks in 642 PA’s (4%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,650 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 76 of 1,216 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 (568.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 23 of 475 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.