White Sox vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners (77-59) are -200 favorites vs the White Sox (68-68)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech (4-9), 3.57 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (6-5), 2.71 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago White Sox (+170) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-200) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The White Sox vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 67-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 73-60 ATS.

White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -130O 7 -110+170
Mariners -1.5 +105U 7 -110-200

White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 64 of his last 92 games (+32.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 64 of his last 94 games (+20.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 52 of his last 94 games (+16.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 52 games at home (+16.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+15.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Jesse Winker 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 +340 0.5 -650

Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Jesse Winker 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Jesse Winker 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Castillo 6.5 -155 6.5 +110
Michael Kopech 3.5 -160 3.5 +110
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 74 of their last 136 games (+16.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 56 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+7.15 Units / 108% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 59-75 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -10.95% ROI).

  • 67-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -9.26% ROI
  • 58-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.25 Units / -9.72% ROI
  • 67-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.46% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 73-60 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 2.87% ROI).

  • 76-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.35 Units / 9.86% ROI
  • 60-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -7.95% ROI
  • 66-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.24% ROI

Joe Kelly has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — second Percentile.

Joe Kelly has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 42% (5/12) of opposing batters — tied for 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Joe Kelly — tied for 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .226 — third Percentile.

Joe Kelly has allowed an OPS of 1.167 (18 PA’s) — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .670 — third Percentile.

Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

59% of Luis Castillo’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (257/436) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 47% (50 SO in 106 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (9-for-90) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 99th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The White Sox are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 12-2 (.857) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The White Sox are just 6-33 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The White Sox are just 5-50 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Mariners are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Mariners are 35-5 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Mariners are 41-30 (.577) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Mariners are 58-2 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

White Sox hitters have just 15 strikeouts in 103 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox hitters have 80 extra-base hits out of 275 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

White Sox hitters have drawn 29 walks in 642 PA’s (4%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,650 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

White Sox pitchers have walked 76 of 1,216 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 (568.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 23 of 475 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.