White Sox vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 1

Miami Marlins' Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging during the second inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Sept. 5, 2024, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-150) on April 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the White Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.

White Sox vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 0-1, 16.22 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 1-0, 0.00 ERA

White Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+13.60 Units / 272% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+20.50 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Agustin Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.40 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 138 games (+15.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+14.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 79 away games (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 away games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+23.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 87 games (+20.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 143 games (+15.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The White Sox are just 98-193 (.337) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The White Sox are just 46-121 (.275) on the road since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.

The White Sox were just 55-6 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The White Sox are just 63-163 (.279) after a loss since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Marlins are just 46-66 (.411) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2024 season Today, they face the White Sox (30th runs allowed).

The Marlins are just 72-95 (.431) at home since the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Marlins are just 139-155 (.473) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 31% since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have won just 42% of games in which they have scored first on the road since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .303 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .354 against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .188 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 8.45 (33.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 10.13 (24.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .429 against White Sox pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 16% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 61% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a swing rate of 53% against the Marlins pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 5% of batters this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.