- The Mets are -125 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
- Watch the game on SNY
The Chicago White Sox (+105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-125) on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The White Sox vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 40-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 36-57 ATS.
White Sox vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
White Sox vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+17.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 32 games (+10.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+16.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+16.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+15.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 games (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+14.05 Units / 44% ROI)
Mets vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mets vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Mets vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+2.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+13.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 94% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.95 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 47-48 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -7.33% ROI).
- 40-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -14.26% ROI
- 41-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -10.6% ROI
- 48-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 2.85% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 36-57 against the Run Line (-28.75 Units / -24.19% ROI).
- 43-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.15 Units / -19.46% ROI
- 38-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.4 Units / -17.94% ROI
- 51-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 8.96% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (37/111) against Lucas Giolito in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .176 (6-for-34) against Lucas Giolito on low fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (106/306) against Lucas Giolito this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 11th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of just .255 (14 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 87th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .388 (45-for-116) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (30 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .477 (63-for-132) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .338 — first Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (85 Total Bases / 116 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .423 — 0 Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The White Sox are just 32-5 (.865) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 5-14 (.263) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The White Sox are just 13-7 (.650) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The White Sox are just 13-25 (.342) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mets are just 9-18 (.333) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .561.
The Mets are just 3-11 (.214) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Mets are just 15-15 (.500) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
The Mets are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .218 (1,882 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .620 (1,112 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,671 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .466 (1,882 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 607 strikeouts in 2,956 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (5,167 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mets are batting just .223 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Mets are just 6-21 (.222) against the run line (-61.0% ROI) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 367 of 3,678 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 50 double plays in 663 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 77 of 813 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Groin, Day-to-Day
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