- The Mets are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dany Toussaint
- Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
- Watch the game on SNY
The Chicago White Sox (+185) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-225) on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The White Sox vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 40-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 36-58 ATS.
White Sox vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -115 | +185 |
| Mets | -1.5 -115 | U 9 -105 | -225 |
White Sox vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 80.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+18.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 41 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+17.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+15.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+14.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Mets vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Mets vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Mets vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Touki Toussaint | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
| Justin Verlander | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.10 Units / 59% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.00 Units / 28% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 48-48 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -6.45% ROI).
- 40-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -15.03% ROI
- 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -9.53% ROI
- 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.83% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 36-58 against the Run Line (-29.75 Units / -24.82% ROI).
- 44-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.15 Units / -18.5% ROI
- 39-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.4 Units / -16.78% ROI
- 51-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 7.85% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Touki Toussaint has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to August 10th, 2022 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (30/48) against Touki Toussaint over the last 30 days (5 games) — 5th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (14/20) against Touki Toussaint over the last 30 days (5 games) — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Touki Toussaint has a strike rate of just 59% (202/345) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 7th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has walked 6 of 22 batters (27%) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Justin Verlander has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (60/126) over the last 30 days (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .554 (978 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (22/49) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The White Sox are just 32-5 (.865) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 13-26 (.333) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The White Sox are just 40-55 (.421) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 13-7 (.650) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mets are just 3-11 (.214) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Mets are 126-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Mets are just 16-15 (.516) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .218 (1,902 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .292 (2,715 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .464 (1,902 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
White Sox hitters have drawn 61 walks in 1,207 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are just 6-22 (.214) against the run line (-62.4% ROI) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Mets are batting just .231 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,544 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Mets hitters have just 1,366 strikeouts in 6,783 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 25 of 162 batters (15%) over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 375 of 3,721 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraine, Day-to-Day
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Groin, Day-to-Day
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