- The – are favorites vs the –
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Mets starting pitcher: José Quintana
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago White Sox () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Thursday, July 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The White Sox vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 40-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 37-58 ATS.
White Sox vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | O | ||
| Mets | U |
White Sox vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 68.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 34 games (+19.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+18.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+17.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+16.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+15.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Mets vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Mets vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Quintana | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+10.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.70 Units / 17% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 48-49 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -7.36% ROI).
- 40-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -15.78% ROI
- 42-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -10.42% ROI
- 49-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 2.74% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 37-58 against the Run Line (-28.7 Units / -23.75% ROI).
- 45-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.15 Units / -17.47% ROI
- 39-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -17.61% ROI
- 52-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.1 Units / 8.72% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has walked 53 of 381 batters (14%) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Michael Kopech has a strike rate of just 57% (416/735) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 57 of 387 left-handed batters (15%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 69 of 560 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has not allowed a home run in any of the last 67.1 innings he’s appeared — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Jose Quintana has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.3 MPH against his fastballs since last season (271 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 90.6
Jose Quintana has not allowed a HR in any of his last 12 starts dating back to August 10th, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 50% (359/712) of the time since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The White Sox are just 32-5 (.865) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 13-26 (.333) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 5-15 (.250) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The White Sox are just 102-8 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mets are just 3-11 (.214) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Mets are just 16-15 (.516) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
The Mets are 127-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 30-15 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .784.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .218 (1,917 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,746 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .465 (1,917 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are just 7-22 (.241) against the run line (-56.9% ROI) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Mets are batting just .224 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Mets are batting .259 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Mets hitters have just 1,369 strikeouts in 6,817 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 380 of 3,755 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 30 of 196 batters (15%) over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraine, D10
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- Thomas Pham (Mets): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Andrew Vaughn (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
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