- The White Sox are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
- Nationals starting pitcher: Joan Adon
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Chicago White Sox (-120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+100) on Monday, September 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The White Sox vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 57-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 80-70 ATS.
White Sox vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -105 | -120 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -115 | +100 |
White Sox vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 56.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.60 Units / 96% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 64% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jacob Young has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 74% ROI)
Nationals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Nationals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
Nationals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Nationals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Joan Adon | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 112 games (+8.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.48 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 132 games (+22.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.39 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 144 games (+3.70 Units / 2% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 73-77 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -8.83% ROI).
- 57-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.45 Units / -20.4% ROI
- 68-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -7.92% ROI
- 74-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.33% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 80-70 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.22% ROI).
- 66-84 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.45 Units / 11.35% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -4.38% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -4.01% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (17/76) against Mike Clevinger with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has not walked any of the 46 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% (115/396) against Joe Ryan in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (42/161) against Mike Clevinger this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (11-for-22) against Joan Adon when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .275 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .327 (18-for-55) against Joan Adon over the last 30 days (4 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .245 — eighth Percentile.
Joan Adon has allowed an OPS of 1.535 (25 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count over the last 30 days (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 1.046 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .341 (15-for-44) against Joan Adon at home over the last 30 days (2 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .248 — fifth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The White Sox are just 48-8 (.857) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox are just 18-38 (.321) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The White Sox are just 11-19 (.367) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The White Sox are just 46-9 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Nationals are just 38-60 (.388) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Nationals are just 37-161 (.187) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Nationals are just 44-75 (.370) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 37-63 (.370) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .293 (5,516 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (2,905 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have 184 extra-base hits out of 573 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 538 walks in 8,990 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,059 strikeouts in 5,583 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) against the run line (-63.6% ROI) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 606 of 5,817 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 126 of 1,326 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,139 of 11,962 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Stone Garrett (Nationals): Leg, D60
- Riley Adams (Nationals): Wrist, D10
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Declan Cronin (White Sox): Hand, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
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