White Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 24, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The White Sox (62-61) are -120 favorites vs the Orioles (64-58)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (9-7), 5.33 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (4-3), 4.03 ERA
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Chicago White Sox (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The White Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 61-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 80-41 ATS.

White Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox-1.5 +135O 8.5 -115-120
Orioles +1.5 -160U 8.5 -105+100

White Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 54 of his last 80 games (+24.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 59 of his last 82 games (+23.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 47 of his last 82 games (+17.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 52 games at home (+18.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+15.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games at home (+15.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Orioles vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Anthony Santander 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Austin Hays 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Orioles vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Anthony Santander 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Austin Hays 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Orioles vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Anthony Santander 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Austin Hays 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Orioles vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spenser Watkins 2.5 -175 2.5 +125
Lucas Giolito 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 66 of their last 123 games (+12.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 35 away games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+14.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games at home (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 62 games (+4.55 Units / 7% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 54-67 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -9.96% ROI).

  • 61-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -8.29% ROI
  • 54-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -6.37% ROI
  • 58-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.56% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 80-41 against the Run Line (+31.7 Units / 19.8% ROI).

  • 64-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +26.65 Units / 20.89% ROI
  • 57-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -4.91% ROI
  • 59-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.63% ROI

Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .978 (293 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .711 — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .386 (17-for-44) against Lucas Giolito this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .336 (89-for-265) against Lucas Giolito this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has allowed a BABIP of .393 against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .297 — second Percentile.

Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

22 of Spenser Watkins’ 48 strikeouts (46%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 14% (48 SO in 335 PAs) this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has struck out just 12% (5/43) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — ninth Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 50 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The White Sox are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 5-46 (.098) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

The White Sox are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The White Sox are just 5-51 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Orioles are 36-23 (.610) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Orioles are 11-50 (.180) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Orioles are 29-6 (.829) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Orioles are 21-4 (.840) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

White Sox hitters have 70 extra-base hits out of 243 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .438 (261 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .343 (3,053 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .343 (973 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Orioles hitters have 347 strikeouts in 1,397 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have drawn 261 walks in 3,468 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.60 (532.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 329 of 4,565 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.90 (1264.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.

Orioles vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Knee, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Leury García (White Sox): Back, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.