- The White Sox (63-61) are -115 favorites vs the Orioles (64-59)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (3-5), 5.29 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (9-9), 4.60 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Chicago White Sox (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Thursday, August 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The White Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 62-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 80-42 ATS.
White Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -110 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -110 | -105 |
White Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 81 games (+25.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 60 of his last 83 games (+24.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 83 games (+18.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 53 games at home (+17.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games at home (+14.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+13.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Robinson Chirinos has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Orioles vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Orioles vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
| Lance Lynn | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 67 of their last 124 games (+13.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 36 away games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 63 games (+3.55 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 55-67 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -8.86% ROI).
- 62-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -7.62% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.19% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 80-42 against the Run Line (+30.05 Units / 18.58% ROI).
- 64-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.6 Units / 19.9% ROI
- 57-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -5.69% ROI
- 60-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -1.88% ROI
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .763 (29 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .426 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has not allowed a walk in his last 109 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents are hitting .387 (24-for-62) against Lance Lynn on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .258 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has walked 4 of 171 left-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .244 (70-for-287) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .327 (17-for-52) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .307 (316 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — third Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .411 (118 Total Bases / 287 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The White Sox are just 5-46 (.098) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The White Sox are 83-14 (.856) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The White Sox are just 16-21 (.432) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are 33-30 (.524) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Orioles are just 11-25 (.306) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 29-6 (.829) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Orioles are 21-4 (.840) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .665.
The Orioles are 11-51 (.177) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting .277 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,552 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
White Sox hitters have 70 extra-base hits out of 247 total hits (just 28%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (262 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 32 total hits (47%) against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Orioles hitters have 347 strikeouts in 1,397 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles are batting just .105 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.59 (541.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 394.3 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Leury García (White Sox): Back, D10
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