White Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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Baltimore Orioles' Anthony Santander in action during a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Sunday, May 28, 2023, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Orioles are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Chicago White Sox (+195) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-250) on Monday, August 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The White Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the White Sox are 52-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 79-51 ATS.

White Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 +105O 9 -115+195
Orioles -1.5 -125U 9 -105-250

White Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 77.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Michael Kopech has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.70 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)

Orioles vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Oscar Colas 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Tim Anderson 0.5 +1050 0.5
Korey Lee 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Orioles vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Oscar Colas 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Tim Anderson 1.5 +160 1.5 -210
Korey Lee 0.5 -135 0.5 +105

Orioles vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Oscar Colas 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Tim Anderson 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Korey Lee 0.5 +275 0.5 -400

Orioles vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Kopech 4.5 +125 4.5 -160
Grayson Rodriguez 5.5 -160 5.5 +125
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 93 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 110 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.89 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 117 games (+24.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games at home (+8.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.68 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+4.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.76 Units / 17% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 65-66 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -8.13% ROI).

  • 52-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.2 Units / -17.07% ROI
  • 59-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -9.08% ROI
  • 66-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 0.86% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 79-51 against the Run Line (+23.15 Units / 13.59% ROI).

  • 81-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.8 Units / 18.08% ROI
  • 64-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 3.66% ROI
  • 54-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.75 Units / -11.68% ROI

Michael Kopech has walked 137 of 1,029 batters (13%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Michael Kopech has walked 80 of 535 batters (15%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Michael Kopech has walked 74 of 476 left-handed batters (15%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Michael Kopech has walked 54 of 338 batters (16%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .543 (19-for-35) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .352 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (36/104) against Grayson Rodriguez on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .971 (34 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .605 — second Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez allowed a batting average of .311 at home (ninth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .216 on the road this season (14th best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The White Sox are just 6-17 (.261) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The White Sox are just 43-7 (.860) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox are just 17-20 (.459) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .614.

The White Sox are just 18-114 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Orioles are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Orioles are 15-7 (.682) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

team pitchers – home

Orioles vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
  • Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
  • Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Oblique, D10
  • Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.