- The Padres are -210 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- White Sox / Padres TV Channel: CHSN | PDTV | KFMB
The Chicago White Sox (+170) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-210) on May 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the White Sox are 15-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 18-12 ATS.
White Sox vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 1-2, 3.21 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 3-1, 2.38 ERA
White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -105 | +170 |
| Padres | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -115 | -210 |
White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+24.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Edgar Quero has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Colson Montgomery has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+10.55 Units / 132% ROI)
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+10.10 Units / 109% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+15.50 Units / 155% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 16-16 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -14.12% ROI).
- 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 4.22% ROI
- 19-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 14% ROI
- 13-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -22.32% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 18-12 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 8.6% ROI).
- 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 14.67% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.44% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -6.87% ROI
Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Munetaka Murakami | +280 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | +450 |
| Ramon Laureano | +450 |
| Manny Machado | +475 |
| Colson Montgomery | +475 |
Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tristan Peters | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The White Sox are just 57-18 (.760) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 6-18 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 72-101 (.416) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .777.
The Padres are 14-1 (.933) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Padres are 62-36 (.633) at home since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Padres are 76-7 (.916) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .871.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters are slugging just .364 against RHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The White Sox are batting just .231 since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The White Sox are batting just .215 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The White Sox are batting just .213 with runners on base this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .606 (221 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Padres are batting .400 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Padres pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (894.0 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Padres have allowed 3.94 runs per game (761/193) since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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