White Sox vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 3

San Diego Padres' Jake Cronenworth during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Wednesday, June 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • The Padres are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Padres TV Channel: CHSN | PDTV

The Chicago White Sox (+155) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on May 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the White Sox are 16-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 18-13 ATS.

White Sox vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Anthony Kay 1-1, 6.05 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-0, 0.00 ERA

White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -135O 8.5 -118+155
Padres -1.5 +115U 8.5 -102-190

White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+23.00 Units / 256% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+9.55 Units / 106% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+10.00 Units / 143% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+7.50 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 17-16 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -11.61% ROI).

  • 16-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 8.64% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -18.9% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 18-13 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 6.1% ROI).

  • 19-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 9.63% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -3.56% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -3.82% ROI

Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ramon Laureano +450
Manny Machado +450
Miguel Vargas +600
Nicholas Castellanos +650
Austin Hays +700

Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Andujar 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Manny Machado 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ty France 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tristan Peters 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Bryce Johnson 0.5 -140 0.5 +105

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The White Sox are just 91-41 (.689) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The White Sox are just 58-18 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The White Sox are just 73-101 (.420) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The White Sox are just 68-7 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Padres are 14-2 (.875) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Padres are 76-7 (.916) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Padres are 14-66 (.175) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Padres are 47-37 (.560) after a loss since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .481.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .364 against RHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have a groundball batting average of just .220 with runners on base since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .150 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

The White Sox won only 25% of games in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .614 (649 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .598 (224 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .398 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Padres pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 25 double plays in 226 opportunities (11%) this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.