White Sox vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 01, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The White Sox (78-79) are -110 favorites vs the Padres (86-71)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (14-7), 2.06 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (6-7), 4.48 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago White Sox (-110) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Saturday, October 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The White Sox vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 78-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 70-87 ATS.

White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox-1.5 +155O 7 +100-110
Padres +1.5 -190U 7 -120-110

White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 75 of his last 113 games (+29.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 76 of his last 115 games (+21.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 62 of his last 115 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 39 games at home (+13.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 62 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)

Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Brandon Drury 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Josh Bell 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Brandon Drury 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Josh Bell 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

Padres vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Brandon Drury 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Josh Bell 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Clevinger 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
Dylan Cease 5.5 -150 5.5 +105
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 82 of their last 157 games (+13.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 70 away games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 90 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 69 of their last 132 games (+12.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games at home (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 68-89 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.71% ROI).

  • 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.45 Units / -10.38% ROI
  • 70-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -7.75% ROI
  • 77-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.4% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 70-87 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.03% ROI).

  • 86-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.2 Units / -5.56% ROI
  • 72-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.45 Units / -9.54% ROI
  • 81-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.12% ROI

Right-handed batters are hitting just .165 (55-for-333) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 74 of 723 batters (10%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Dylan Cease has struck out 34% (125/368) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 52 of 465 batters (11%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .186 (8-for-43) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .337 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (66/347) against Mike Clevinger this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (46/142) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has allowed a slugging percentage of .673 (33 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .427 — fourth Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The White Sox are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 71-23 (.755) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The White Sox are just 7-56 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.

The White Sox are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Padres are 30-9 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Padres are 29-11 (.725) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Padres are 21-2 (.913) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Padres are 68-7 (.907) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .445 (274 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.

White Sox hitters have 93 extra-base hits out of 316 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .169 (231 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The White Sox are batting just .104 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .163.

Padres hitters have just 726 strikeouts in 3,503 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .360 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Padres hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (684.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 394.3 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Padres pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

The Padres have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Padres vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Concussion, D7

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.