White Sox vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 02, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Padres (87-71) are -160 favorites vs the White Sox (78-80)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (7-7), 4.16 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (8-9), 3.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The Chicago White Sox (+135) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-160) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The White Sox vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 78-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 70-87 ATS.

White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -160O 7 -115+135
Padres -1.5 +135U 7 -105-160

White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+13.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 57 away games (+13.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games at home (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jose Azocar 0.5 +1050 0.5
Josh Bell 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Jose Azocar 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Josh Bell 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Padres vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Jose Azocar 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Josh Bell 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell 7.5 +100 7.5 -140
Lance Lynn 4.5 -165 4.5 +120
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+14.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 71 away games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 91 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 70 of their last 133 games (+13.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games at home (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+4.15 Units / 15% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 68-89 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.71% ROI).

  • 78-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.5 Units / -10.81% ROI
  • 70-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -7.69% ROI
  • 77-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.4% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 70-87 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.03% ROI).

  • 87-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -5.12% ROI
  • 72-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.45 Units / -9.48% ROI
  • 81-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.12% ROI

Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .691 (38 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .426 — third Percentile.

Lance Lynn has walked 7 of 277 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .373 (38-for-102) against Lance Lynn on inside fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (262/682) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .077 (3-for-39) against Blake Snell — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed an OPS of just .259 (44 PA’s) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .676 — 98th Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 100 of 844 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .088 (3-for-34) against Blake Snell — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The White Sox are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The White Sox are just 7-57 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The White Sox are just 35-43 (.449) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The White Sox are 71-23 (.755) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Padres are just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Padres are 21-2 (.913) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Padres are 30-11 (.732) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Padres are 69-7 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

White Sox hitters have drawn 271 walks in 4,679 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .179 (224 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

White Sox hitters have 94 extra-base hits out of 318 total hits (just 30%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Padres hitters are slugging .767 on the road over the past seven days (1 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.

Padres hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Padres are batting just .229 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 394.3 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Padres have won 43% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Padres pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

Padres vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Concussion, D7

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.