White Sox vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 30

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 30, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Padres (86-70) are -225 favorites vs the White Sox (77-79)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin (2-5), 3.85 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (16-7), 3.05 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Friday, September 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The White Sox vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 77-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 70-86 ATS.

White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -115O 7.5 -110+180
Padres -1.5 -105U 7.5 -110-225

White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 58 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Brandon Drury 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jose Azocar 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Brandon Drury 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Jose Azocar 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Padres vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Brandon Drury 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jose Azocar 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Martin 3.5 +100 3.5 -140
Yu Darvish 6.5 +115 6.5 -160
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 67-89 against the Run Line (-24.5 Units / -13.33% ROI).

  • 77-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.35 Units / -11.31% ROI
  • 70-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -7.15% ROI
  • 76-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.17% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 70-86 against the Run Line (-22.45 Units / -11.55% ROI).

  • 86-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -4.64% ROI
  • 72-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.35 Units / -8.96% ROI
  • 80-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.55% ROI

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (6/20) against Davis Martin — tied for 9th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 12th Percentile.

Davis Martin had a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (19/25) — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 93rd Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .310 (9-for-29) against Davis Martin — 9th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — 15th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .143 (3-for-21) against Davis Martin on the road — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 94th Percentile.

Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (20/75) against Yu Darvish this month (5 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/93) against Yu Darvish on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .156 (65-for-416) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .103 (16-for-155) against Yu Darvish on fastballs away since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The White Sox are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 7-56 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

The White Sox are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The White Sox are 42-36 (.538) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Padres are 29-11 (.725) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Padres are 45-36 (.556) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Padres are just 3-55 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Padres are 30-9 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .137 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The White Sox are batting .275 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

White Sox hitters have 92 extra-base hits out of 314 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The White Sox are batting just .163 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

Padres hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Padres are batting just .235 at home since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Padres hitters have just 725 strikeouts in 3,502 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Padres pitchers this month (24 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres pitchers have walked 83 of 1,395 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Concussion, D7

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.