- The Padres (86-70) are -225 favorites vs the White Sox (77-79)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin (2-5), 3.85 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (16-7), 3.05 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Friday, September 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The White Sox vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 77-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 70-86 ATS.
White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -110 | +180 |
| Padres | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -110 | -225 |
White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 58 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Padres vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -140 |
| Yu Darvish | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 67-89 against the Run Line (-24.5 Units / -13.33% ROI).
- 77-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.35 Units / -11.31% ROI
- 70-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -7.15% ROI
- 76-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.17% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 70-86 against the Run Line (-22.45 Units / -11.55% ROI).
- 86-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -4.64% ROI
- 72-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.35 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 80-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.55% ROI
Davis Martin: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (6/20) against Davis Martin — tied for 9th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 12th Percentile.
Davis Martin had a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (19/25) — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 93rd Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .310 (9-for-29) against Davis Martin — 9th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — 15th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .143 (3-for-21) against Davis Martin on the road — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 94th Percentile.
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (20/75) against Yu Darvish this month (5 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/93) against Yu Darvish on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .156 (65-for-416) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .103 (16-for-155) against Yu Darvish on fastballs away since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The White Sox are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-56 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The White Sox are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The White Sox are 42-36 (.538) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Padres are 29-11 (.725) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
The Padres are 45-36 (.556) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Padres are just 3-55 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Padres are 30-9 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters are slugging just .137 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The White Sox are batting .275 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox hitters have 92 extra-base hits out of 314 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The White Sox are batting just .163 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Padres are batting just .235 at home since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have just 725 strikeouts in 3,502 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Padres pitchers this month (24 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have walked 83 of 1,395 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Concussion, D7
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