- The Pirates are -170 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- White Sox / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-170) on Friday, July 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the White Sox are 32-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 49-46 ATS.
White Sox vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 3-7, 4.45 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 6-4, 3.79 ERA
White Sox vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -102 | +140 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -118 | -170 |
White Sox vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miguel Vargas has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+8.60 Units / 143% ROI)
- Edgar Quero has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+10.35 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+8.90 Units / 148% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+14.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 away games (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 73 games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 96 games (+22.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+17.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 59 games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 53-44 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.61% ROI).
- 32-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.76 Units / -18.22% ROI
- 41-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.55 Units / -13.54% ROI
- 50-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 4.53% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 49-46 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -4.21% ROI).
- 39-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -13.29% ROI
- 38-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.55 Units / -22% ROI
- 56-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.6 Units / 13.73% ROI
Pirates vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Horwitz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Edgar Quero (CWS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Cannon (CWS) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -118 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jonathan Cannon has a strike rate of just 59% (98/165) in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has thrown just 44% of his pitches in the strike zone (72/165) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 52% — second Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 6th lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 25th Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has a first-pitch in-zone of just 46% (21/46) over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 57% — sixth Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 15% (59 SO in 395 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (475/1,080) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 17% (30 SO in 171 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 11th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .767 (23 Total Bases / 30 ABs) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .386 — third Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The White Sox are just 5-85 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The White Sox are just 62-19 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The White Sox are just 59-31 (.656) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The White Sox are just 73-186 (.282) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Pirates are just 5-16 (.238) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (Ranks 28th runs scored) today.
The Pirates are just 10-70 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 1-49 (.020) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Pirates are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .624 (7,021 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .332 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (11,617 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .584 (1,834 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .309 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
The Pirates have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The White Sox have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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