- The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- White Sox / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on Saturday, July 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA, PA.
This season, the White Sox are 33-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 49-47 ATS.
White Sox vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 5-2, 1.58 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 1-3, 4.87 ERA
White Sox vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +115 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -135 |
White Sox vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+10.30 Units / 114% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Teel has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 111% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+6.10 Units / 95% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+10.40 Units / 173% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Walks Over in his last 5 games at home (+8.10 Units / 162% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 62% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 away games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (+11.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 away games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games (+6.10 Units / 7% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 97 games (+23.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+16.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+13.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+9.80 Units / 30% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 54-44 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.42% ROI).
- 33-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.41 Units / -16.66% ROI
- 42-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -12.48% ROI
- 50-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 3.45% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 49-47 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -4.96% ROI).
- 39-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.7 Units / -14.53% ROI
- 39-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.55 Units / -20.85% ROI
- 56-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.5 Units / 12.56% ROI
Pirates vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Pirates vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Pirates vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser (CWS) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Mike Burrows (PIT) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 12% (19/154) against Adrian Houser in the 2024 season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Adrian Houser had an ERA of 8.10 (16.0 IP) on the road in the 2024 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 3.71 — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser had an ERA of 8.10 (30.0 IP) on the road in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 3.66 — third Percentile.
Adrian Houser struck out just 12% (19/155) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Burrows has walked 20% of batters this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Michael Burrows has allowed an OBP of .667 (15 PA’s) versus the top of the order this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 0 Percentile.
Michael Burrows has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (74/135) of opposing batters this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (35/121) against Michael Burrows this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The White Sox are just 9-71 (.112) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The White Sox are just 60-31 (.659) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The White Sox are just 30-99 (.233) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The White Sox are just 31-75 (.292) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Pirates (Ranks fifth runs allowed) today.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Pirates are just 8-59 (.119) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Pirates are just 10-71 (.123) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 5-17 (.227) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (Ranks 28th runs scored) today.
The Pirates are just 1-50 (.020) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .625 (7,040 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 28% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .498 (313 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Pirates have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,834 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .491 (411 PA’s) this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 4% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 65% of the time over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Pirates pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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