- The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- White Sox / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on Sunday, July 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA, PA.
This season, the White Sox are 34-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 49-48 ATS.
White Sox vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 1-6, 5.27 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-8, 4.61 ERA
White Sox vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -118 | +115 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -102 | -135 |
White Sox vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miguel Vargas has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+9.30 Units / 93% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.10 Units / 85% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.40 Units / 134% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.05 Units / 30% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 away games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 away games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 75 games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 75 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 98 games (+22.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+14.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 55-44 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 3.2% ROI).
- 34-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.26 Units / -15.34% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -11.45% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 2.4% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 49-48 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -5.69% ROI).
- 39-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.05 Units / -15.59% ROI
- 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.55 Units / -19.73% ROI
- 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.4 Units / 11.42% ROI
Pirates vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Pirates vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Edgar Quero (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Horwitz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Austin Slater (CWS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Pirates vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Edgar Quero (CWS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Pirates vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (PIT) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +110 |
| Aaron Civale (CWS) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -118 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Aaron Civale’s pitches (67/172) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 44 PAs) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Aaron Civale had a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (fifth lowest)– eighth Percentile and 73% when behind in the count last season (fifth highest among qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed an OPS of just .416 (102 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .712 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has a strikeout rate of just 36% (73 SO in 203 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 16th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .459 (45 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — sixth Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has a strikeout rate of just 26% (27 SO in 103 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 16th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The White Sox are just 64-19 (.771) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The White Sox are just 75-186 (.287) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 6-118 (.048) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The White Sox are just 6-85 (.066) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Pirates are just 5-18 (.217) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (Ranks 28th runs scored) today.
The Pirates are just 10-72 (.122) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Pirates are just 1-22 (.043) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Pirates are just 8-59 (.119) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 24% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .341 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .626 (7,080 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .344 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,834 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .584 (1,834 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Pirates are batting just .126 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 13% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 5% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
More MLB Reading:
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