- The Rays are -220 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- White Sox / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-220) on Monday, July 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the White Sox are 35-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 48-50 ATS.
White Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 4-8, 4.43 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 8-5, 4.18 ERA
White Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -115 | O 9 -120 | +180 |
| Rays | -1.5 -105 | U 9 +100 | -220 |
White Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miguel Vargas has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sean Burke has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.20 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+23.10 Units / 462% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+15.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Shane Baz has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 37% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 away games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 76 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 away games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 74% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 52 games (+8.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 52 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 56-44 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 3.97% ROI).
- 35-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.06 Units / -13.99% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -12.25% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 3.29% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 48-50 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -1.2% ROI).
- 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.67 Units / -0.54% ROI
- 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.95 Units / -19.77% ROI
- 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.75 Units / 11.69% ROI
Rays vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Rays vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke (CWS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Burke has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (20/44) over the last 14 days — tied for lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Sean Burke in his last two starts — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Sean Burke has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (10 Total Bases / 20 ABs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — second Percentile.
Sean Burke has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (20/44) in his last two starts — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has walked 15% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Shane Baz has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Shane Baz has a strike rate of 70% (340/484) in two strike counts this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% (151/305) against Shane Baz this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 86th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The White Sox are just 62-31 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The White Sox are just 65-19 (.774) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The White Sox are just 6-85 (.066) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The White Sox are just 19-60 (.241) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Rays (Ranks ninth runs scored) today.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rays are 4-37 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 7-38 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Rays are 35-4 (.897) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 113-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 24% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 29% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .332 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .631 (2,737 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .188 with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
27% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays are batting .258 this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 13% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The White Sox have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 83 double plays in 625 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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