- The Rays (31-21) are -125 favorites vs the White Sox (23-27)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (4-2), 3.68 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (5-2), 3.47 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago White Sox (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The White Sox vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 23-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 25-27 ATS.
White Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -120 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +170 | U 7 +100 | -125 |
White Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Adam Engel has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.40 Units / 88% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+6.35 Units / 63% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1H Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 31 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1H Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1H Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 22-28 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -10.3% ROI).
- 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -12.18% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -6.87% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 25-27 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 31-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.44% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -10.62% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 2.83% ROI
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has a strike rate of 80% (117/147) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (169/337) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .267 (54-for-202) against Drew Rasmussen in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (4-for-28) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 97th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cubs are just 6-22 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Cubs are just 13-80 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Cubs are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Cubs are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rays are 27-9 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Rays are 15-81 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Rays are 20-75 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Rays are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .069.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 1,509 strikeouts in 5,744 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cubs are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 259 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .150 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .346.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting just .192 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Rays hitters have an OBP of just .273 (216 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Rays have scored 352 runs in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — most in MLB.
Rays hitters have just 89 strikeouts in 495 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 26 of 470 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 132 of 1,920 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (999.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Rays vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Back, D15
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Hamstring, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lynn (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Yermín Mercedes (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Groin, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Groin, D10
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