White Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2022, 10:04 AM
  • The White Sox (24-27) are -110 favorites vs the Rays (31-22)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (3-2), 3.61 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Yarbrough (0-2), 4.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago White Sox (-110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The White Sox vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 24-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 25-28 ATS.

White Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox-1.5 +155O 7 +100-110
Rays +1.5 -190U 7 -120-110

White Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+6.35 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 116% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1H Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+14.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 17 of their last 32 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1H Run Line in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1H Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 23-28 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -8.31% ROI).

  • 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -10.36% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -8.54% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.67% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 25-28 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.58% ROI).

  • 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.19% ROI
  • 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -12.17% ROI
  • 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 4.45% ROI

Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of .950 (19 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .435 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .600 (12-for-20) against Justin Steele on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (39/257) against Justin Steele in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Justin Steele has walked 16 of 117 batters (14%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Ryan Yarbrough: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Yarbrough has averaged 71.2 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 85.0 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (18/104) against Ryan Yarbrough’s curve and slider since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Ryan Yarbrough has averaged 71.1 MPH on sliders since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 84.9 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (18/104) against Ryan Yarbrough on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

No Matchup notes for this Game

Cubs hitters have 1,526 strikeouts in 5,830 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .372 (45 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .649.

The Cubs are batting .393 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

The Rays have scored 352 runs in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — most in MLB.

The Rays have scored 1.66 runs per game (352/212) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.

Rays hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,185 of their 3,555 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Rays have scored 1.87 runs per game (396/212) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.

The Cubs have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Rays pitchers have walked 119 of 1,941 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,469 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 133 of 1,953 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 569 of 7,951 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Hamstring, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Lynn (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Yermín Mercedes (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Groin, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.