White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

Boston Red Sox rookie Roman Anthony celebrates after his two RBI double, his first major league hit, during the first inning of a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park, Tuesday, June 10, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
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  • The Red Sox are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • White Sox / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | CHSN

The Chicago White Sox (+154) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-190) on August 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the White Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are ATS.

White Sox vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 3-9, 5.08 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 4-3, 3.20 ERA

White Sox vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -135O 9 -115+154
Red Sox -1.5 +110U 9 -105-190

White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games (+25.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 35 games (+20.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+14.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Wilyer Abreu +280
Willson Contreras +310
Munetaka Murakami +400
Colson Montgomery +400
Jarren Duran +425

Red Sox vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -300 0.5 +210
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Willson Contreras 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Caleb Durbin 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jarren Duran 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Red Sox vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Braden Montgomery 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Munetaka Murakami 1.5 -190 1.5 +140

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The White Sox are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The White Sox are just 5-26 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The White Sox are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The White Sox were just 4-40 (.091) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Red Sox are 47-4 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 37-24 (.607) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are just 4-7 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 55 extra-base hits out of 113 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

30% of White Sox hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .222 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 240 extra-base hits out of 643 total hits (37%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .262 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 61% on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .179 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The White Sox have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (267.1 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for best in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.88 (494.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.97 runs per game (110/113) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (496.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.