White Sox vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 4

Colorado Rockies left fielder Nolan Jones (22) in sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024, in Denver.
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The White Sox are -120 favorites vs the Rockies
  • White Sox vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • White Sox / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | CHSN | KTVD

The Chicago White Sox (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Friday, July 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.

This season, the White Sox are 28-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 34-53 ATS.

White Sox vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 3-2, 1.92 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 3-11, 6.78 ERA

White Sox vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox-1.5 +125O 11 -105-130
Rockies +1.5 -150U 11 -115+110

White Sox vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Mike Tauchman has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 76% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+30.00 Units / 375% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jordan Beck has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 away games (+13.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 64 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.39 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (+8.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+14.22 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 28 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 49-38 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 4.95% ROI).

  • 28-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.11 Units / -18.5% ROI
  • 37-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -12.18% ROI
  • 44-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 3.2% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 34-53 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -17.43% ROI).

  • 20-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.45 Units / -35.88% ROI
  • 35-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -19.38% ROI
  • 49-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 11.17% ROI

Rockies vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +270 0.5 -325
Miguel Vargas (CWS) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jordan Beck (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Rockies vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Josh Rojas (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ryan Ritter (COL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Michael A. Taylor (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rockies vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Vargas (CWS) 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Jordan Beck (COL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185

Rockies vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Antonio Senzatela (COL) 2.5 -135 2.5 +100
Adrian Houser (CWS) 4.5 +125 4.5 -160

Adrian Houser had an ERA of 8.10 (16.0 IP) on the road in the 2024 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 3.71 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 12% (19/154) against Adrian Houser in the 2024 season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Adrian Houser allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (40 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on breaking pitches in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .336 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 16% (37/226) against Adrian Houser in the 2024 season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .397 (54-for-136) against Antonio Senzatela when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 0 Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OBP of .431 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 0 Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OPS of 1.165 (146 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .748 — 0 Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OBP of .405 (390 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 0 Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The White Sox are just 59-19 (.756) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The White Sox are just 67-151 (.307) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The White Sox are just 56-31 (.644) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The White Sox are just 8-69 (.104) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rockies are just 67-10 (.859) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Rockies are just 12-6 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Rockies are just 20-67 (.230) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 18-59 (.234) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 22% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .624 (9,046 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .621 (6,740 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .341 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 21% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rockies have won just 18% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

The Rockies have won just 39% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The White Sox have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 4% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.