- The White Sox (56-55) are -175 favorites vs the Royals (46-66)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (12-4), 1.98 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke (3-7), 4.58 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 56-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 53-59 ATS.
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -105 | -175 |
| Royals | +1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -115 | +145 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 46 of his last 68 games (+21.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 51 of his last 70 games (+20.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 65 games (+11.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Hunter Dozier has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Hunter Dozier has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -175 |
| Dylan Cease | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -125 |
| Zack Greinke | 2.5 -200 | 2.5 +140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+15.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 44 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 away games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+19.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 48-63 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -11.77% ROI).
- 56-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -8.18% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -6.82% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.49% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 53-59 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -11.33% ROI).
- 46-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -9% ROI
- 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -4.57% ROI
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has struck out 37% (97/263) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (204/523) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (362/1,008) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (93/220) against Dylan Cease with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (29/82) against Zack Greinke on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Zack Greinke has an ERA of 7.16 (44.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 4.04 — third Percentile.
Zack Greinke has a strikeout rate of just 13% (52 SO in 396 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Zack Greinke has thrown low pitches 70% of the time (811/1,166) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are 51-14 (.785) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 5-41 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The White Sox are just 3-46 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The White Sox are 31-26 (.544) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Royals are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Royals are just 6-48 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Royals are just 27-32 (.458) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .429 (259 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .356 (62 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.
White Sox hitters have 68 extra-base hits out of 225 total hits (just 30%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The White Sox are batting just .158 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 534 strikeouts in 2,798 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn 9 walks in 41 PA’s (22%) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .488 (41 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Royals are batting .367 against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 61 of 994 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 383 of 4,232 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 422 of 4,329 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Allen Pollock (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
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