White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 11, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The White Sox (56-55) are -175 favorites vs the Royals (46-66)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (12-4), 1.98 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke (3-7), 4.58 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Chicago White Sox (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 56-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 53-59 ATS.

White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox-1.5 -105O 7.5 -105-175
Royals +1.5 -115U 7.5 -115+145

White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 46 of his last 68 games (+21.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 51 of his last 70 games (+20.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 65 games (+11.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)

Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
MJ Melendez 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Michael Massey 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Nick Pratto 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Salvador Perez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
MJ Melendez 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Michael Massey 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Nick Pratto 0.5 +100 0.5 -140
Nicky Lopez 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
MJ Melendez 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Michael Massey 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Nick Pratto 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Nicky Lopez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Greinke 3.5 +120 3.5 -175
Dylan Cease 7.5 -110 7.5 -125
Zack Greinke 2.5 -200 2.5 +140
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+15.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 44 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 away games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+19.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 48-63 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -11.77% ROI).

  • 56-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -8.18% ROI
  • 50-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -6.82% ROI
  • 54-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.49% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 53-59 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -11.33% ROI).

  • 46-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -9% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -4.57% ROI

Dylan Cease has struck out 37% (97/263) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (204/523) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (362/1,008) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (93/220) against Dylan Cease with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (29/82) against Zack Greinke on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Zack Greinke has an ERA of 7.16 (44.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 4.04 — third Percentile.

Zack Greinke has a strikeout rate of just 13% (52 SO in 396 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Zack Greinke has thrown low pitches 70% of the time (811/1,166) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox are 51-14 (.785) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The White Sox are just 5-41 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The White Sox are just 3-46 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The White Sox are 31-26 (.544) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Royals are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Royals are just 6-48 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Royals are just 27-32 (.458) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .429 (259 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .356 (62 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.

White Sox hitters have 68 extra-base hits out of 225 total hits (just 30%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The White Sox are batting just .158 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

Royals hitters have just 534 strikeouts in 2,798 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have drawn 9 walks in 41 PA’s (22%) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of .488 (41 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Royals are batting .367 against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 61 of 994 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 383 of 4,232 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Royals pitchers have walked 422 of 4,329 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Allen Pollock (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.