- The Royals are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease, 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller, 5.78 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (+100) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EST in Surprise.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the White Sox are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 8-1 ATS.
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
White Sox | +1.5 -200 | O 9.5 -110 | +100 |
Royals | -1.5 +165 | U 9.5 -110 | -120 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 54.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sebastian Rivero has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+0.85 Units / 9% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 away games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+18.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 8.1% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 5.62% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -44% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 35.02% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 8-1 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 67.08% ROI).
- 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 69.38% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 38.69% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -44.95% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .163 (56-for-343) against Dylan Cease last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 97th Percentile.
Dylan Cease walked 54 of 480 batters (11%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease allowed a slugging percentage of just .165 (65 Total Bases / 393 ABs) with two-strikes last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.9 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of the 2021 season (313 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 86.9
Brad Keller had a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (334/616) last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Brad Keller has allowed an OBP of .367 (365 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .276 — second Percentile.
Brad Keller has allowed an OBP of .359 (1,228 PA’s) since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .303 — fourth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Royals are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters drew 39 walks in 771 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .476 (312 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,264 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters slugged just .368 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .991 (2,308 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,180 of 12,376 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 405.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Royals pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
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