- The White Sox are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 13-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 13-24 ATS.
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +115 | O 9.5 -115 | -145 |
| Royals | +1.5 -140 | U 9.5 -105 | +120 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+10.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.25 Units / 138% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+8.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 75% ROI)
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -165 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Brad Keller | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -155 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 17-20 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -13.14% ROI).
- 13-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -27.25% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 12.45% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -19.19% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 13-24 against the Run Line (-14.65 Units / -32.41% ROI).
- 10-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -37.6% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -2.2% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -6.93% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .595 (22 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — sixth Percentile.
9 of Lance Lynn’s 21 breaking pitch strikeouts (43%) have been backdoor this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
9 of Lance Lynn’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .530 (44 Total Bases / 83 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 54% (155/285) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Brad Keller has walked 14 of 70 right-handed batters (20%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Brad Keller has walked 28 of 158 batters (18%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 36% (103/285) against Brad Keller this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 4-6 (.400) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The White Sox are just 8-5 (.615) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .851.
The White Sox are just 10-76 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The White Sox are just 6-14 (.300) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 2-5 (.286) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Royals are just 5-53 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 4-16 (.200) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Royals are just 6-9 (.400) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 45 walks in 934 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 349 walks in 5,889 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have 120 extra-base hits out of 378 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 16% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals are batting just .202 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Royals hitters have put just 31% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .323 against White Sox pitchers with the shift this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The White Sox have allowed 2.00 runs per game (74/37) in late innings this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have walked 719 of 7,678 batters (9%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
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