- The White Sox are -110 favorites vs the Royals
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (-110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on Thursday, May 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 13-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 14-24 ATS.
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -115 | -110 |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -105 | -110 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 57.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+9.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.85 Units / 90% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 81% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+9.55 Units / 159% ROI)
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Brady Singer | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+7.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 17-21 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -14.89% ROI).
- 13-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -29.81% ROI
- 21-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 14.53% ROI
- 14-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -21.31% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 14-24 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -29.42% ROI).
- 11-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -33.33% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.24% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -9.4% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .210 (13-for-62) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .341 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .174 (8-for-46) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has allowed 9 stolen bases this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (24/51) of left-handed hitters this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 62% — sixth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (20/30) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 56% of the time (196/349) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (131/241) against Brady Singer vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 81% (13/16) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 9-5 (.643) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are 15-8 (.652) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The White Sox are just 5-6 (.455) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 5-53 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 7-10 (.412) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Royals are just 5-17 (.227) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Royals are just 11-23 (.324) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 45 walks in 936 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have 120 extra-base hits out of 380 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .334 (1,649 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are slugging .421 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 16% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Royals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The White Sox have allowed 1.97 runs per game (75/38) in late innings this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .328 against White Sox pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 33 of 334 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
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