- The White Sox are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (-125) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Monday, May 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 12-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 12-23 ATS.
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -125 |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -115 | +105 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+8.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.25 Units / 138% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+7.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -175 |
| Dylan Cease | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.95 Units / 16% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 16-19 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -13.92% ROI).
- 12-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -28.46% ROI
- 19-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 13.15% ROI
- 13-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -20.18% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 12-23 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -33.84% ROI).
- 9-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -39.94% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -2.32% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -7.21% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 8 of 72 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 12th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 30 of 256 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (318/888) against Dylan Cease since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has walked 6 of 152 batters (4%) this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has a strikeout rate of just 23% (15 SO in 66 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 60% (91/152) against Zack Greinke on sliders this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .311 (32-for-103) against Zack Greinke’s non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — fifth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 8-5 (.615) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .851.
The White Sox are just 1-2 (.333) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .599.
The White Sox are just 10-75 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The White Sox are just 4-6 (.400) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 3-16 (.158) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Royals are just 5-53 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 2-5 (.286) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Royals are just 1-12 (.077) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 120 extra-base hits out of 377 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 45 walks in 919 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,644 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 16% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (929 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Royals hitters are slugging just .384 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have allowed 2.11 runs per game (74/35) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 148 of 1,400 batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 18 of 112 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
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