White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 4

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(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 04, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Royals are -160 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Jesse Scholtens
  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Chicago White Sox (+135) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Monday, September 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

This season, the White Sox are 53-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 58-80 ATS.

White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -145O 10 -105+135
Royals -1.5 +120U 10 -115-160

White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 64.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tim Anderson has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+10.35 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Drew Waters has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Drew Waters has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Drew Waters has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Drew Waters has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)

Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oscar Colas 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Tim Anderson 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Korey Lee 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oscar Colas 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tim Anderson 1.5 +145 1.5 -190
Maikel Garcia 1.5 +120 1.5 -155
Korey Lee 0.5 -125 0.5 -105

Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oscar Colas 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Tim Anderson 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Korey Lee 0.5 +270 0.5 -375

Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jesse Scholtens 3.5 +125 3.5 -165
Cole Ragans 6.5 +100 6.5 -135
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 116 games (+12.39 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 99 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+6.49 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+1.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.39 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 67-70 against the Run Line (-16.6 Units / -9.13% ROI).

  • 53-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.75 Units / -18.7% ROI
  • 62-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -8.12% ROI
  • 68-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 58-80 against the Run Line (-34 Units / -20.51% ROI).

  • 42-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -38.6 Units / -27.15% ROI
  • 67-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -4.22% ROI
  • 66-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -5.2% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (5/42) against Jesse Scholtens over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .304 (7-for-23) against Jesse Scholtens with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .166 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (15/84) against Jesse Scholtens over the last 14 days (2 games) — 3rd lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Jesse Scholtens has not walked any of the 26 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .116 (5-for-43) against Cole Ragans over the last 14 days (2 games) — tied for best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — second Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .116 (5 Total Bases / 43 ABs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .412 — 100th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed an OPS of just .253 (44 PA’s) — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .722 — 98th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox are just 44-7 (.863) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The White Sox are just 6-18 (.250) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

The White Sox are just 17-35 (.327) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The White Sox are just 19-117 (.140) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Royals are just 13-26 (.333) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.

The Royals are just 29-29 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The Royals are just 5-41 (.109) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,860 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

White Sox hitters have drawn 521 walks in 8,640 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .218 (2,658 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (2,512 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Royals have won just 34% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.

The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 550 of 5,304 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1,083 of 11,449 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Royals have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Royals pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • John McMillon (Royals): Forearm, D15
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
  • Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
  • James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
  • Luis Robert Jr. (White Sox): Quad, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.