- The Royals are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dany Toussaint
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (+100) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Wednesday, September 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 53-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 59-81 ATS.
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -190 | O 10 -115 | +100 |
| Royals | -1.5 +155 | U 10 -105 | -120 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+10.95 Units / 110% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.50 Units / 70% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -200 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Touki Toussaint | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 118 games (+12.19 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.04 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.39 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+8.93 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 68-71 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -9.17% ROI).
- 53-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.75 Units / -19.74% ROI
- 64-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -6.69% ROI
- 68-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -1.4% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 59-81 against the Run Line (-33.85 Units / -20.17% ROI).
- 44-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -36.6 Units / -25.23% ROI
- 69-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -2.86% ROI
- 66-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -6.57% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 31% (48/157) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Touki Toussaint has walked 46 of 288 batters (16%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 29% (54/185) against Joe Ryan in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% (115/396) against Joe Ryan in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .432 (125 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (38-for-105) against Jordan Lyles with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.184 (126 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .704 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (84/244) against Jordan Lyles this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 44-8 (.846) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The White Sox are just 6-18 (.250) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The White Sox are just 17-35 (.327) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The White Sox are just 17-21 (.447) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .610.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 30-29 (.508) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Royals are just 5-41 (.109) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Royals are just 12-38 (.240) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .495.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (2,710 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have drawn 71 walks in 1,451 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox has 2,103 quality ABs out of 5,163 total (41% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 523 walks in 8,685 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting just .210 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (2,512 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 4-17 (-52.4% ROI) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 566 of 5,426 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.29 (607.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,099 of 11,571 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.39 (573.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- John McMillon (Royals): Forearm, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
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