- The White Sox are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Chicago White Sox (-150) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Thursday, May 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The White Sox vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 21-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 26-21 ATS.
White Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | -150 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -115 | +125 |
White Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+15.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.55 Units / 67% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Tigers vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Tigers vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Tigers vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
| Alex Faedo | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 62% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 26-25 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -2.79% ROI).
- 21-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -16.84% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -9.12% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.69% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 26-21 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 2.52% ROI).
- 22-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 13.05% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -7.48% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (12/63) against Lucas Giolito this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (56/170) against Lucas Giolito this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — second Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has walked 1 of 47 batters (2%) over the last 14 days (2 games) — tied for 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to May 7th — Aaron Nola has the longest active streak at 6.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Alex Faedo’s pitches (130/230) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (14/48) against Alex Faedo over the last 30 days (3 games) — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Alex Faedo has a strike rate of 71% (164/230) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are just 1-7 (.125) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The White Sox are just 10-78 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The White Sox are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The White Sox are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Tigers are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Tigers are just 46-74 (.383) after a loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Tigers are just 13-85 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 51 walks in 1,001 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have scored first in just 23% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (975 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
White Sox hitters have drawn 372 walks in 6,302 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .283 (5,739 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .617 (5,739 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (3,635 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 77% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox have allowed 2.31 runs per game (30/13) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 130 of 1,768 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Wrist, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
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