- The Twins are -155 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo López
- Watch the game on BSN
The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-3 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -105 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -115 | -155 |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.40 Units / 80% ROI)
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 +130 | 6.5 -175 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 14% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -8.45% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -11.2% ROI
- 8-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 50.85% ROI
- 2-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -56.05% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 7-3 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 48.43% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 13.89% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -23.11% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 16.28% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.176 (20 Total Bases / 17 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.676 (20 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .711 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of .500 (20 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (13 Total Bases / 20 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — second Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 37% (151/411) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (5-for-39) against Pablo Lopez this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 42% (13/31) against Pablo Lopez this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 36% (16 SO in 44 PAs) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
keys to the game – away
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 12-28 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 9-37 (.196) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .449 (291 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
White Sox hitters have 105 extra-base hits out of 344 total hits (just 30%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .208 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .113 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .276 (58 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .380 (188 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Twins hitters are slugging just .173 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 52 of 449 batters (12%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 585 of 6,594 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers over the last 30 days of the regular season (38 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 24 of 346 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Knee, D10
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Carlos Correa (Twins): Back, Day-to-Day
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Side, Day-to-Day
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Strained Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Groin, D15
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