White Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (49-41) are -160 favorites vs the White Sox (43-45)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (3-4), 2.91 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (4-2), 3.03 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Chicago White Sox (+135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-160) on Thursday, July 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 43-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 41-49 ATS.

White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -145O 8.5 -105+135
Twins -1.5 +120U 8.5 -115-160

White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Leury Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+5.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Byron Buxton 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Carlos Correa 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
Gio Urshela 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Byron Buxton 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Carlos Correa 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Gio Urshela 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Byron Buxton 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Carlos Correa 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Gio Urshela 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +135 0.5 -200

Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sonny Gray 4.5 -125 4.5 -110
Johnny Cueto 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 47 of their last 88 games (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+8.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games (+8.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 78 games (+7.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 58 games (+2.25 Units / 3% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 40-48 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -8.81% ROI).

  • 43-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -9.6% ROI
  • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -5.25% ROI
  • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.69% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 41-49 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -9.06% ROI).

  • 49-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 2.59% ROI
  • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -5.38% ROI
  • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -2.2% ROI

Johnny Cueto has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 9 opportunities (44%) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Johnny Cueto has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 9 opportunities (44%) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (14/95) against Johnny Cueto on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Johnny Cueto has a strike rate of just 61% (188/309) in two strike counts this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.

Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (87 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Hitters have swung at 52% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (472/917) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (321/618) on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (616/1,202) with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 11-3 (.786) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are just 4-5 (.444) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 41-6 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Twins are 26-19 (.578) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Twins are 43-13 (.768) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

White Sox hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 329 total hits (just 24%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The White Sox are batting .288 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of .805 (674 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

White Sox hitters have drawn 14 walks in 367 PA’s (4%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Twins hitters are slugging .576 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 94 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (3,402 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .750 (1,742 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Right Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.