- The Twins (49-41) are -160 favorites vs the White Sox (43-45)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (3-4), 2.91 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (4-2), 3.03 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Chicago White Sox (+135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-160) on Thursday, July 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 43-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 41-49 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -105 | +135 |
| Twins | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -115 | -160 |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Leury Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 73% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+5.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Carlos Correa | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
| Johnny Cueto | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 47 of their last 88 games (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+8.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games (+8.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 78 games (+7.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 58 games (+2.25 Units / 3% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 40-48 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -8.81% ROI).
- 43-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -9.6% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -5.25% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.69% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 41-49 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -9.06% ROI).
- 49-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 2.59% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -2.2% ROI
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johnny Cueto has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 9 opportunities (44%) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 9 opportunities (44%) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (14/95) against Johnny Cueto on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has a strike rate of just 61% (188/309) in two strike counts this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.
Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (87 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Hitters have swung at 52% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (472/917) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (321/618) on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (616/1,202) with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are 11-3 (.786) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The White Sox are just 4-5 (.444) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 41-6 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Twins are 26-19 (.578) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Twins are 43-13 (.768) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 329 total hits (just 24%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The White Sox are batting .288 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of .805 (674 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
White Sox hitters have drawn 14 walks in 367 PA’s (4%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .576 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 94 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (3,402 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .750 (1,742 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Right Leg, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
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