White Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (49-42) are -145 favorites vs the White Sox (44-45)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech (2-6), 3.34 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer (4-2), 3.92 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Chicago White Sox (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 44-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 41-50 ATS.

White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -165O 9 -115+120
Twins -1.5 +135U 9 -105-145

White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Chris Archer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miguel Sano has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.55 Units / 59% ROI)

Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Byron Buxton 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Carlos Correa 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Gio Urshela 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Byron Buxton 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Carlos Correa 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Gio Urshela 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Byron Buxton 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Carlos Correa 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Gio Urshela 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Devin Smeltzer 3.5 -115 3.5 -125
Michael Kopech 4.5 -115 4.5 -120
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 away games (+12.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 44 games (+4.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 89 games (+6.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 79 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 59 games (+1.25 Units / 2% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 41-48 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -7.76% ROI).

  • 44-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -8.3% ROI
  • 42-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -4.16% ROI
  • 43-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -2.78% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 41-50 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -9.89% ROI).

  • 49-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.26% ROI
  • 42-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -4.32% ROI
  • 43-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.26% ROI

Michael Kopech has allowed a BABIP of .163 against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .156 (25-for-160) against Michael Kopech this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Kopech has a strikeout rate of 30% (21 SO in 70 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (41/229) against Michael Kopech since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Devin Smeltzer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Devin Smeltzer has allowed an OPS of 1.356 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .497 — 0 Percentile.

Devin Smeltzer has a strikeout rate of just 15% (36 SO in 240 PAs) this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.

Devin Smeltzer has allowed a slugging percentage of .850 (34 Total Bases / 40 ABs) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 0 Percentile.

Devin Smeltzer has allowed a slugging percentage of .646 (31 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .376 — second Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 19-25 (.432) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The White Sox are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

The White Sox are just 2-38 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 26-20 (.565) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Twins are just 41-6 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Twins are 43-13 (.768) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

White Sox hitters have 83 extra-base hits out of 337 total hits (just 25%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .362 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

The White Sox are batting .393 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

White Sox hitters have drawn 161 walks in 2,714 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins hitters are slugging .567 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (3,441 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Twins hitters are slugging .422 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 323 of 3,424 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% versus the heart of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Twins pitchers this month (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.