- The Twins are -155 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Watch the game on BSN
The Chicago White Sox (+130) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Friday, July 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 41-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 48-50 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +130 |
| Twins | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -155 |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 68.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 35 games (+20.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 43 games (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+11.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.20 Units / 93% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 57% ROI)
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
| Lance Lynn | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 70% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games at home (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games at home (+2.50 Units / 4% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 49-49 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -6.51% ROI).
- 41-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -14.41% ROI
- 42-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -11.43% ROI
- 50-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 3.64% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 48-50 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -3.8% ROI).
- 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -8.1% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -8.39% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.045 (230 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .729 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .337 (70-for-208) against Lance Lynn this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .649 (135 Total Bases / 208 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 90th Percentile and .337 vs left-handed batters this season (worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed a .475 SLG vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– ninth Percentile and just .281 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 95th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 70% (1,239/1,770) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 71% (621/878) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (40/148) against Joe Ryan this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 33-5 (.868) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 5-15 (.250) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The White Sox are just 13-26 (.333) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 13-7 (.650) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are 22-5 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins are just 9-23 (.281) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (1,936 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox has 1,495 quality ABs out of 3,664 total (41% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .296 (3,664 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have drawn 62 walks in 1,218 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .222 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Twins hitters have 1,002 strikeouts in 3,705 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have 761 strikeouts in 2,781 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 385 of 3,790 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 35 of 231 batters (15%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 52 double plays in 683 opportunities (8%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 276 of 3,607 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Andrew Vaughn (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
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