- The Twins are -145 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
- Watch the game on FOX
The Chicago White Sox (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Saturday, July 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 41-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 49-50 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -110 | +120 |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -110 | -145 |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 36 games (+21.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 76% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
| Dylan Cease | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+6.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 67 games (+7.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+3.50 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 49-50 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -7.64% ROI).
- 41-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -15.16% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -10.38% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.65% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 49-50 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -2.64% ROI).
- 51-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -7.3% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -7.39% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.01% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has walked 28 of 224 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 42% of the time (2,127/5,078) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 40% of the time (431/1,079) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 95th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has a strike rate of just 61% (586/958) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 53% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (549/1,039) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has walked 26 of 235 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (36-for-198) against Sonny Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 88th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 62% (592/947) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 33-5 (.868) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The White Sox are just 5-16 (.238) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The White Sox are just 103-8 (.928) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The White Sox are just 6-17 (.261) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 9-23 (.281) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 109-3 (.973) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Twins are 36-5 (.878) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .784.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (1,957 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox has 1,506 quality ABs out of 3,701 total (41% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 62 walks in 1,226 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 456 walks in 7,570 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .668 (924 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Twins hitters have been successful in 110% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Twins hitters are slugging .714 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Twins hitters have 1,009 strikeouts in 3,742 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 46 of 343 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 389 of 3,827 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 61 of 886 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 278 of 3,644 batters (8%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Willi Castro (Twins): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Pink Eye, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Andrew Vaughn (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
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