- The Twins are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
- Watch the game on BSN
The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 41-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 49-51 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -115 | -150 |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+19.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 77% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 22 games at home (+9.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Lucas Giolito | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+7.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.80 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 50-50 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 41-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.35 Units / -15.89% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -11.32% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 3.53% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 49-51 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -3.42% ROI).
- 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -6.52% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -8.35% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.09% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 79% of the time (472/601) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (788/1,020) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (60/206) against Bailey Ober since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown his changeup 23% of the time (81/347) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 33-5 (.868) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The White Sox are just 13-27 (.325) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 5-16 (.238) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The White Sox are just 32-6 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 9-23 (.281) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 22-36 (.379) after a road win since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Twins are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (1,973 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .296 (3,740 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .463 (1,973 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
White Sox hitters have drawn 62 walks in 1,234 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 47 of 339 batters (14%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 393 of 3,860 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 11 of 77 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 926 of 10,005 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 281 of 3,683 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 61 of 895 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Willi Castro (Twins): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Eye, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Andrew Vaughn (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
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