- The White Sox (76-77) are -125 favorites vs the Twins (74-79)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (7-6), 4.02 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober (1-3), 3.71 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Chicago White Sox (-125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+105) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 76-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 69-84 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +145 | O 6.5 +105 | -125 |
| Twins | +1.5 -175 | U 6.5 -125 | +105 |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -155 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -185 |
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 80 of their last 153 games (+12.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 66 away games (+11.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.75 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 86 games (+6.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games at home (+8.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games at home (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+4.60 Units / 16% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 67-86 against the Run Line (-21.5 Units / -11.89% ROI).
- 76-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -10.86% ROI
- 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -6.55% ROI
- 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.74% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 69-84 against the Run Line (-19.7 Units / -10.55% ROI).
- 74-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -4.37% ROI
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (60/331) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (145/414) against Lance Lynn this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has walked 7 of 263 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .371 (36-for-97) against Lance Lynn’s inside fastball this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.
John Ober: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has not allowed a walk in his last 53 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 28th — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 178.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 7-55 (.113) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The White Sox are 69-22 (.758) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The White Sox are just 35-43 (.449) at home this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The White Sox are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 30-44 (.405) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Twins are just 6-58 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Twins are just 10-41 (.196) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Twins are just 8-54 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 36 walks in 742 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .450 (271 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.
The White Sox are batting just .165 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 148 total hits (just 25%) against RHP this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .525 (149 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .441 (64 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .588 (568 PA’s) on the road this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of 2020 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Twins pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Sandy León (Twins): Knee, D10
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
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