White Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 27, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The White Sox (76-77) are -125 favorites vs the Twins (74-79)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (7-6), 4.02 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: John Ober (1-3), 3.71 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Chicago White Sox (-125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+105) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 76-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 69-84 ATS.

White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox-1.5 +145O 6.5 +105-125
Twins +1.5 -175U 6.5 -125+105

White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Gio Urshela 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jake Cave 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Jose Miranda 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +105 0.5 -155
Gio Urshela 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jake Cave 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Jose Miranda 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Gio Urshela 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Jake Cave 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Jose Miranda 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bailey Ober 4.5 +125 4.5 -185
Lance Lynn 6.5 -130 6.5 -110
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 80 of their last 153 games (+12.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 66 away games (+11.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.75 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 86 games (+6.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games at home (+8.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games at home (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+4.60 Units / 16% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 67-86 against the Run Line (-21.5 Units / -11.89% ROI).

  • 76-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -10.86% ROI
  • 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -6.55% ROI
  • 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.74% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 69-84 against the Run Line (-19.7 Units / -10.55% ROI).

  • 74-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -7.7% ROI
  • 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -3.77% ROI
  • 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -4.37% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (60/331) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (145/414) against Lance Lynn this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has walked 7 of 263 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .371 (36-for-97) against Lance Lynn’s inside fastball this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.

John Ober: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Ober has not allowed a walk in his last 53 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 28th — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 178.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 7-55 (.113) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The White Sox are 69-22 (.758) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are just 35-43 (.449) at home this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The White Sox are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 30-44 (.405) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Twins are just 6-58 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Twins are just 10-41 (.196) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Twins are just 8-54 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

White Sox hitters have drawn 36 walks in 742 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .450 (271 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.

The White Sox are batting just .165 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

Twins hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 148 total hits (just 25%) against RHP this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .525 (149 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .441 (64 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .588 (568 PA’s) on the road this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of 2020 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Twins pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Sandy León (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.