- The – (107-48) are favorites vs the – (107-48)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (10-9), 5.05 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland (0-2), 5.06 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Chicago White Sox () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Thursday, September 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 76-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 71-84 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | O | ||
| Twins | U |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
| Louie Varland | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 60% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.55 Units / 56% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 67-88 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.86% ROI).
- 76-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.35 Units / -11.84% ROI
- 70-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -6.58% ROI
- 75-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.76% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 71-84 against the Run Line (-17.7 Units / -9.31% ROI).
- 76-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 72-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -3.84% ROI
- 72-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -4.35% ROI
Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .958 (376 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .710 — first Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (198 Total Bases / 262 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .545 — second Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .575 (196 Total Bases / 341 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (85/261) against Lucas Giolito this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Louie Varland: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (6/20) against Louie Varland — tied for 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — ninth Percentile.
Louie Varland had a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (12/24) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — seventh Percentile.
Louie Varland has a strikeout rate of just 7% (1 SO in 15 PAs) with runners in scoring position this month (3 games) — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 21% — seventh Percentile.
Louie Varland allowed an OPS of .942 (24 PA’s) — 7th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .651 — eighth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 7-56 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The White Sox are 14-2 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The White Sox are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 9-34 (.209) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Twins are just 30-44 (.405) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Twins are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 68-24 (.739) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .446 (273 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The White Sox are batting .275 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters have 92 extra-base hits out of 313 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins have grounded 19 double plays over the last 14 days (14 games) — most in MLB.
The Twins are batting .386 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Twins hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .588 (568 PA’s) on the road this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (666.2 IP) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Sandy León (Twins): Knee, D10
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Concussion, D7
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