White Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 29, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The (107-48) are favorites vs the (107-48)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (10-9), 5.05 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland (0-2), 5.06 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Chicago White Sox () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Thursday, September 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 76-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 71-84 ATS.

White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox O
Twins U

White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Gio Urshela 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jake Cave 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jose Miranda 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Jake Cave 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Luis Arraez 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Matt Wallner 0.5 -105 0.5 -135

Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Gio Urshela 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jake Cave 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jose Miranda 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lucas Giolito 4.5 -160 4.5 +115
Louie Varland 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.55 Units / 56% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 67-88 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.86% ROI).

  • 76-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.35 Units / -11.84% ROI
  • 70-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -6.58% ROI
  • 75-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.76% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 71-84 against the Run Line (-17.7 Units / -9.31% ROI).

  • 76-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -6.62% ROI
  • 72-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -3.84% ROI
  • 72-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -4.35% ROI

Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .958 (376 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .710 — first Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (198 Total Bases / 262 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .545 — second Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .575 (196 Total Bases / 341 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (85/261) against Lucas Giolito this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Louie Varland: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (6/20) against Louie Varland — tied for 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — ninth Percentile.

Louie Varland had a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (12/24) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — seventh Percentile.

Louie Varland has a strikeout rate of just 7% (1 SO in 15 PAs) with runners in scoring position this month (3 games) — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 21% — seventh Percentile.

Louie Varland allowed an OPS of .942 (24 PA’s) — 7th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .651 — eighth Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 7-56 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are 14-2 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The White Sox are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 9-34 (.209) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Twins are just 30-44 (.405) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Twins are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 68-24 (.739) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .446 (273 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.

The White Sox are batting .275 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

White Sox hitters have 92 extra-base hits out of 313 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Twins have grounded 19 double plays over the last 14 days (14 games) — most in MLB.

The Twins are batting .386 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Twins hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .588 (568 PA’s) on the road this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (666.2 IP) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Sandy León (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Concussion, D7

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.