- The Angels are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Watch the game on BSW
The New York Yankees (+115) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-135) on Monday, July 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Yankees vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 50-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 43-51 ATS.
Yankees vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -120 | +115 |
| Angels | -1.5 +145 | U 9 +100 | -135 |
Yankees vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 85% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+18.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+16.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+11.25 Units / 94% ROI)
Angels vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Angels vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Angels vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Angels vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Luis Severino | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 64 games (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 away games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+7.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 49-45 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 2.58% ROI).
- 50-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -1.08% ROI
- 41-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -12.39% ROI
- 49-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 3.46% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 43-51 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -11.13% ROI).
- 46-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -9.02% ROI
- 45-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.67% ROI
- 42-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -6.62% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 37 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .533 (8 GB hits out of 15 GBs) against Luis Severino with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .560 (103 Total Bases / 184 ABs) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .419 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .315 (58-for-184) against Luis Severino this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .250 — first Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (42/79) against Griffin Canning on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 0 Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 38% (41/108) against Griffin Canning when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time (819/1,238) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (38/64) against Griffin Canning on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Yankees are 27-51 (.346) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Yankees are 14-11 (.560) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 88-22 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Angels are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 14-66 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have drawn 234 walks in 2,253 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 772 of their 3,443 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Yankees are batting just .227 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,744 strikeouts in 6,862 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (743 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .778 (3,611 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 38% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (1210.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 46 of 344 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have allowed 9.00 runs per game (72/8) over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.65.
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 9.13 (68.0 IP) over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Angels pitchers have walked 85 of 831 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): The Los Angeles Angels placed RHP Sam Bachman on the 15-day injured list., D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D10
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
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