Yankees vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 19, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Angels
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
  • Angels starting pitcher: Chase Silseth
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Yankees (-140) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+115) on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Yankees vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 50-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 44-52 ATS.

Yankees vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +125O 8.5 -105-140
Angels +1.5 -150U 8.5 -115+115

Yankees vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+14.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 36 games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+10.25 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+20.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+19.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+18.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Chad Wallach has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Chad Wallach has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+11.25 Units / 94% ROI)

Angels vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Moustakas 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jose Trevino 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Angels vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Moustakas 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Jose Trevino 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Angels vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Moustakas 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
Jose Trevino 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Angels vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Rodon 6.5 -145 6.5 +110
Chase Silseth 3.5 -135 3.5 +105
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 66 games (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 away games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.65 Units / 36% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 50-46 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 2.52% ROI).

  • 50-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -2.71% ROI
  • 41-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -14.18% ROI
  • 51-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 5.26% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 44-52 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -10.88% ROI).

  • 48-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 45-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -3.64% ROI
  • 44-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -4.56% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 38% (58 SO in 151 PAs) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (107 SO in 267 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (386/754) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 33% (245 SO in 753 PAs) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a miss rate of just 18% (30/168) against Ross Stripling on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents batted just .266 (65-for-244) against Ross Stripling in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .329 — 98th Percentile.

Ross Stripling allowed a slugging percentage of just .328 (21 Total Bases / 64 ABs) when he was behind in the count in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 99th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a chase rate of 36% (176/491) against Ross Stripling in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Yankees are 36-32 (.529) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.

The Yankees are 27-53 (.338) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Yankees are 51-27 (.654) after a home win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .540.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Angels are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Angels are just 14-67 (.173) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 787 of their 3,517 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 238 walks in 2,288 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have pulled 53% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Yankees are batting just .230 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Angels hitters have 21 strikeouts in 56 PA’s (38%) against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters have 16 strikeouts in 36 PA’s (44%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Angels are batting .269 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Angels hitters have 1,763 strikeouts in 6,932 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 38% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .227.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Angels pitchers have walked 45 of 339 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 87 of 850 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 361 of 3,701 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Angels pitchers have walked 901 of 9,739 batters (9%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
  • Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
  • José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
  • José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
  • Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
  • Samuel Bachman (Angels): The Los Angeles Angels placed RHP Sam Bachman on the 15-day injured list., D15
  • José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
  • Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D10
  • Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
  • James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.