Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 26

Houston Astros' Jose Altuve bats during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals, Monday, March 6, 2023, in Jupiter, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Astros
  • Yankees vs Astros Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Yankees / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | YES

The New York Yankees (-140) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+118) on April 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Yankees are 18-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 10-18 ATS.

Yankees vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 1-1, 4.11 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 2-0, 2.46 ERA

Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +105O 9.5 -105-140
Astros +1.5 -135U 9.5 -115+118

Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+18.00 Units / 450% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jose Caballero has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.75 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Luis Gil has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+11.25 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+14.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 16-11 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 25.81% ROI).

  • 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 2.58% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -14.8% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 5.5% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 10-18 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -25.96% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -33.75% ROI
  • 20-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.8 Units / 34.34% ROI
  • 8-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.8 Units / -45.7% ROI

Astros vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +195
Yordan Alvarez +280
Ben Rice +300
Trent Grisham +360
Jazz Chisholm Jr. +360

Astros vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Carlos Correa 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Jose Altuve 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Yainer Diaz 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Astros vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cam Smith 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Austin Wells 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jose Caballero 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dustin Harris 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Yankees are 3-6 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Yankees are 12-5 (.706) after a win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Astros are just 2-11 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Astros are 30-23 (.566) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Yankees (sixth in runs scored).

The Astros are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Astros are just 10-18 (.357) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters are slugging .451 since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .109 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .784 (7,265 PA’s) since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .429 (119 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of 1.103 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .358 (520 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have put 45% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.04 (123.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 1.50 (54.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 1.67 runs per game (10/6) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.04 (244.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 14% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.86 runs per game (108/28) in the first 5 innings this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.43 (190.1 IP) this month (22 games) — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.