- The Astros are -185 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon, 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander, 13.50 ERA
- Watch the game on TBS
The New York Yankees (+150) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-185) on Wednesday, October 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:37pm EDT in Houston for this postseason game.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Yankees vs Astros Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 102-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 87-78 ATS.
Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -150 | O 7 -120 | +150 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 7 +100 | -185 |
Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+16.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+13.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 27 away games (+13.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 23 away games (+13.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 46 of his last 81 games at home (+17.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Astros vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Astros vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
| Justin Verlander | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 away games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 96 of their last 152 games (+28.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 93 of their last 163 games (+26.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 102 of their last 149 games (+22.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 146 games (+14.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games at home (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 75-92 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -9.67% ROI).
- 102-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.12% ROI
- 77-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -8.29% ROI
- 84-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.6% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 87-78 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 5.38% ROI).
- 109-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.3 Units / 6.3% ROI
- 61-94 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.15 Units / -22.77% ROI
- 94-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +26.2 Units / 14.33% ROI
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 8 of 269 batters (3%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Jameson Taillon this month (1 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 32 of 728 batters (4%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 93rd Percentile.
71% of Jameson Taillon’s called strikeouts are outside this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 95th Percentile.
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .227 (665 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .186 (116-for-625) against Justin Verlander this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (169 Total Bases / 625 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .497 (666 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 14-9 (.609) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Astros are 51-30 (.630) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Astros are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 49-7 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Astros are 43-15 (.741) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 351 walks in 3,449 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 268 walks in 2,113 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .334 (3,449 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 321 strikeouts in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% against Astros pitchers this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shin, D15
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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