- The Astros are -185 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The New York Yankees (+150) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-185) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Yankees vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 0-0 ATS.
Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.20 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Astros vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Astros vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Astros vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Astros vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
| Luis Severino | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+13.33 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.82 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 away games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.03 Units / 43% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.22 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+9.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has an ERA of 8.06 (44.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 4.42 — 0 Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .881 (74 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .580 — first Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .617 (103 Total Bases / 167 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .429 — second Percentile.
Luis Severino has pitched 17.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Matt Manning has the longest active streak at 17.2.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (261 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 87.1
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .425 (17 GB hits out of 40 GBs) against Hunter Brown with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (79/409) against Hunter Brown since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.1 MPH on the 243 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 87.5.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
keys to the game – away
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
keys to the game – home
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Astros vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Shin, Day-to-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Kendall Graveman (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Gleyber Torres (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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